The role of public policy in developing underperforming capital markets: international experience and implications for Ukraine

Issue: № 9, 2025

Doi: https://doi.org/10.37634/efp.2025.9.18

Introduction. Capital markets are important for economic growth because they help savers and investors share their money in a way that makes the most sense. For rising economies, especially those that are having trouble rebuilding after a war, it is important to have strong capital markets to attract both domestic and foreign investment. The purpose of the paper is to look at how public policy can help improve capital markets that aren't doing well. It does this by looking at what has happened in other countries and drawing conclusions about what Ukraine must do to improve its capital market while the war is still going on and, in the future, when it needs to rebuild. Results. It has been shown that successful capital market development needs broad policy frameworks that include things like harmonizing regulations, building up institutions' capacity, changing the pension system, and protecting investors. Public policy changes need to deal with both supply-side issues (like institutional frameworks and market infrastructure) and demand-side issues (like investor confidence and financial literacy). This has been shown to be true in the European Union, Asian emerging markets, and economies that have been through a conflict. Ukraine's capital market has certain specific problems, including as prohibitions during warfare, a small market capitalization, and gaps in regulation. Conclusion. For the capital market in Ukraine to flourish, the government should focus on making sure that investments are secure, aligning legislation with EU norms, setting properly funded pension systems, and strengthening market infrastructure. All these things should be done while simultaneously satisfying the special needs for funding during war and rebuilding.

Keywords : capital markets, public policy, market development, Ukraine, emerging markets, financial regulation

References:

1. Budget: what the country spent on and how it earned in the 1st quarter. Ukrinform. URL: https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-economy/3703732-budzet-na-so-vitracala-ta-ak-zaroblala-kraina-u-1-kvartali.html (in Ukrainian).

2. Berg J. From a Capital Markets Union towards a robust Savings and Investment Union. CEPS. 2024. URL: https://www.ceps.eu/from-a-capital-markets-union-towards-a-robust-savings-and-investment-union/

3. Danylyshyn B. Realities of wartime: the situation in the economy and financial markets of Ukraine. LB.ua. URL: https://lb.ua/blog/bogdan_danylysyn/568138_realii_voiennogo_chasu_situatsiya.html (in Ukrainian).

4. Druhov O.O., Vavzheniak D. Post-war development of the stock market of Ukraine: problems and directions of. Collection of scientific works "Strategy of economic development of Ukraine". 2023. № 5. pp. 111-114. URL: http://sedu.kneu.edu.ua/article/view/296752/289745 (in Ukrainian).

5. Kravchuk N., Lutsyshyn O. Financial market of Ukraine during the war: realities of functioning. The World of Finance. 2022. № 4(73). pp. 112-128. URL: http://sf.wunu.edu.ua/index.php/sf/article/view/1564/1572 (in Ukrainian).

6. Kremen O.I., Shvydka V. Military bonds as a tool for financing the state budget expenditures of Ukraine in wartime. Problems of integration of education, science and business in the context of globalization: materials of the International scientific-practical conference. Kyiv, 2022. pp. 98-100. (in Ukrainian).

7. Minfin. Expenditures of the state budget of Ukraine. https://www.google.com/search?q=Minfin.com.ua. URL: https://index.minfin.com.ua/ua/finance/budget/gov/ (in Ukrainian).

8. National University "Yuri Kondratyuk Poltava Polytechnic". Development of the financial market in Ukraine: threats, problems, prospects. URL: https://reposit.nupp.edu.ua (in Ukrainian).

9. Tataryn, N. B., Bednarchuk, V. V., & Mlintsova, A. O. Prospects for the development of the financial market in Ukraine. Scientific notes of V. I. Vernadsky Taurida National University. Series: Economics and Management. 2020. № 31(70). pp, 147-152. URL: https://financial.lnu.edu.ua/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/4-1-1.pdf (in Ukrainian).

10. North D.C., Alt J. Institutions, institutional change, and economic performance. University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign's Academy for Entrepreneurial Leadership Historical Research Reference in Entrepreneurship. URL: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1496212

11. La Porta, R., Lopez de Silanes, F., Shleifer, A., Vishny R.W.. Law and finance. Journal of Political Economy, 106(6), 1113–1155. https://doi.org/10.1086/250042

12. Cambridge Associates. 2025 Outlook: Public Equities. URL: https://www.cambridgeassociates.com/insight/2025-outlook-public-equities/

13. Capco.Capital Markets 2025. URL: https://www.capco.com/intelligence/capco-intelligence/capital-markets-2025

14. Capgemini. Capital markets top trends 2025. URL: https://www.capgemini.com/us-en/insights/research-library/capital-markets-top-trends-2025/

15. Deloitte 2025 banking and capital markets outlook. URL: https://www.deloitte.com/us/en/insights/industry/financial-services/financial-services-industry-outlooks/banking-industry-outlook.html

16. Deloitte. 2025 Capital Markets Regulatory Outlook. URL: https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/pages/regulatory/articles/securities-regulatory-outlook.html

17. European Central Bank. Financial literacy and monetary policy transmission. URL: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date/2025/html/ecb.sp250327~4f9c298d91.en.html

18. FCA. FCA statement on market reforms and what's to come. URL: https://www.fca.org.uk/news/statements/fca-statement-market-reforms-and-whats-come

19. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. 2025 Fintech Conference: Bank-Fintech Partnerships. URL: https://www.frbsf.org/news-and-media/events/fintech/2025/04/fintech-conference-bank-fintech-partnerships-distributed-ledger-technology-regulation-and-fintech-innovation/

20. Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. 2024. Stock Market Capitalization to GDP for Ukraine (DDDM01UAA156NWDB). St. Louis: FRED. URL:https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DDDM01UAA156NWDB (дата звернення: 05.08.2025).

21. IFC. Rise in Capital-Market Financing Powers Investment and Employment in Developing Countries. 2025. URL:https://www.ifc.org/en/pressroom/2025/rise-in-capital-market-financing-powers-investment-and-employment-in-developing-co

22. IMF. Pension Reform and Stock Market Development. IMF Working Papers 2025/049. 2025. URL: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2025/02/28/Pension-Reform-and-Stock-Market-Development-562026

23. International Monetary Fund. (2024). World Economic Outlook, April 2024: Steady but Slow: Resilience amid Divergence. Washington: IMF. URL: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2024/04/16/world-economic-outlook-april-2024

24 Irish Times. EU takes another crack at capital markets reform. 2025. URL: https://www.irishtimes.com/business/financial-services/2025/03/19/eu-takes-another-crack-at-capital-markets-reform/

25. Kyiv Post. Ukraine Promises to Create Capital Markets Infrastructure – Again. 2025. URL: https://www.kyivpost.com/post/56311

26. Lanka Business Online. Capital Market Content to Be Integrated into Proposed Financial Literacy Curriculum. URL: https://www.lankabusinessonline.com/capital-market-content-to-be-integrated-into-proposed-financial-literacy-curriculum/

27. McKinsey. Global Private Markets Report 2025: Braced for shifting weather. URL: https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/private-capital/our-insights/global-private-markets-report

28. OCC. Financial Literacy Update: First Quarter 2025. URL: https://www.occ.treas.gov/publications-and-resources/publications/community-affairs/financial-literacy-updates/financial-literacy-1st-quarter-2025.html

29. OECD. Asia Capital Markets Report 2025. URL: https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/2025/06/asia-capital-markets-report-2025_8c82611c.html

30. OECD. Mapping Ukraine's Financial Markets and Corporate Governance Framework for a Sustainable Recovery. URL: https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/mapping-ukraine-s-financial-markets-and-corporate-governance-framework-for-a-sustainable-recovery_866c5c44-en.html

31. OECD. Supporting emerging markets and developing economies in developing their local capital markets. URL: https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/supporting-emerging-markets-and-developing-economies-in-developing-their-local-capital-markets_4456de62-en/full-report.html

32. Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Business Insights on Emerging Markets 2024. Paris: OECD Publishing. URL: https://www.oecd.org/en/publications/business-insights-on-emerging-markets-2024_7d6b7375-en.html

33. Plaid. 10 fintech trends that define the industry's future. URL: https://plaid.com/resources/fintech/fintech-trends/

34. PwC. Capital markets 2025 midyear outlook. URL: https://www.pwc.com/us/en/services/consulting/deals/us-capital-markets-watch.html

35. QED Investors. Fintech's Next Chapter: Scaled Winners and Emerging Disruptors. URL: https://www.qedinvestors.com/blog/fintechs-next-chapter-scaled-winners-and-emerging-disruptors-2

36. SIFMA. 2025 Capital Markets Outlook. URL: https://www.sifma.org/resources/general/2025-capital-markets-outlook/

37. U.S. Department of State. Investment Climate Statements: Ukraine. Washington: Bureau of Economic and Business Affairs. URL: https://www.state.gov/reports/2024-investment-climate-statements/ukraine (дата звернення: 05.08.2025).

38. White House. Presidential Message on National Financial Literacy Month, 2025. URL: https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-statements/2025/04/presidential-message-on-national-financial-literacy-month-2025/

39. World Bank Group. Global Economic Prospects. Washington: World Bank. URL: https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospects (дата звернення: 05.08.2025).

40. World Bank Group. Unlocking Growth: Developing Domestic Capital Markets for Private Investment and Jobs. URL: https://www.worldbank.org/en/events/2025/04/25/unlocking-growth-developing-domestic-capital-markets-for-private-investment-and-jobs

41. World Economic Forum. (2025). Innovation, tech and regulatory change are shaping investing. URL: https://www.weforum.org/stories/2025/01/innovation-technology-investing-capital-markets/

Download paper