Factors and forecast assessments of innovative development of transport infrastructure

Issue: № 3/1, 2020

Doi: https://doi.org/10.37634/efp.2020.3(1).3

Introduction. Due to the introduction of the euro integration vector of the Ukrainian economy development, the modernization and adaptation of the transport infrastructure to the EU standards should take place. For ensuring the efficient operation of transport infrastructure, it is necessary to develop a new, more efficient management model in the form of a national innovative transport HUB. The purpose of the paper is the offering of mechanism for the innovative development of transport infrastructure based on factor and forecast estimates. Results. The proposed mechanism of the state regulation of development of national innovative transport HUB is to transform the impact of the environment as the main source of innovation change, which simultaneously serves as a source of resources that infrastructure as an open system uses at the input of its activities to ensure the expected result. The possibility of implementing the proposed mechanism of the state regulation of development of the national innovative transport HUB was analyzed on the basis of the results of activities of individual entities that are part of the transport infrastructure of the Kyiv region. Conclusion. The simulation results prove that the developed simulation model of innovative behavior of the transport infrastructure objects has considerable potential for explaining the peculiarities of the innovative behavior of the transport infrastructure objects of the Kyiv region, identifying and implementing priority innovative projects. Factor and predictive assessments of the innovative development of transport infrastructure of the Kyiv region, allows to evaluate the impact on the innovative behavior of certain factors, including the degree of development of elements of innovative infrastructure and the effectiveness of measures for state regulation of innovative activity of transport infrastructure objects in the coordinates of two-dimensional matrix “Efficiency-Reliability”.

Keywords : innovative development, transport infrastructure, national innovative transport HUB

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