Issue: № 4, 2025
Doi: https://doi.org/10.37634/efp.2025.4.12
The paper explores contemporary risks affecting the performance of supply chains for agricultural products in Ukraine under the conditions of full-scale war. Special emphasis is placed on financial risks, which arise both from internal processes within the supply chain and from external shocks such as macroeconomic instability, armed conflict, logistical disruptions, and the destruction of critical infrastructure. These risks have led to significant fluctuations in supply continuity, cost efficiency, and market accessibility. The research underscores the critical importance of efficient risk management strategies in ensuring access to agricultural products and maintaining food security. A comprehensive methodological approach is applied, combining factor analysis, entropy weighting, the TOPSIS model, and grey relational analysis to assess and rank risk indicators across various stages of the agri-food supply chain-including production, processing, logistics, and distribution. Key identified risk factors include disrupted harvests, contamination of arable land, shortages of labor and inputs, volatility in agricultural prices, and restricted access to transport infrastructure. The empirical results confirm the practical applicability of a complex risk indicator system in prioritizing intervention areas and enhancing resilience planning. Furthermore, the analysis reveals long-term structural vulnerabilities in Ukraine’s agri-food system, especially in the southern and eastern regions where hostilities continue to impair agricultural activity. In response, the study outlines strategic policy directions focused on strengthening supply chain resilience through digitalization, modernization of infrastructure, and diversification of international trade routes. These measures are essential to improving the adaptability of agricultural enterprises and securing stable food supplies in the face of prolonged crisis conditions.
Keywords : : supply chain, agricultural enterprise, financial risks, risk management, food security, agri-logistics, infrastructure damage, resilience
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